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A historic ending is coming to the Bitcoin and S P bear markets this is the First time we've seen the signal since The all-time highs so let's take a look At that in today's video looking at how This volatility signal is letting us Know that the end is near and peace will Be restored to the markets and the media Before we get there smash that like Subscribe to the channel Bell Notification icon and no YouTube video Is complete without talking about the Links in the top of the video Description our free crypto and economic Report emailed to you once every two Weeks and for the Aussies limited time There's double free Bitcoin when you Sign up using the swiftx links in this Description anyone else looking for a Crypto exchange big get huge sign up Bonuses and free usdt just for Depositing that's all all right let's Have a look at the VIX Index right now So this is the index that lets us know How volatile the S P 500 is typically When the vix spikes to higher prices That is typically lows on the S P 500 When it drops down hits some bottoms Here like you can see plenty of times Throughout the bull market and the bear Market that's typically some Tops on the S P so we get lower prices here that's Tops on the S P but also sustained moves Within trading ranges typically show
Signs of bull markets and they can be Bull markets of 12 months or several Years and right now we're starting to See something very very important on the Vix and it's what we've been covering Here major things lower tops meaning That the volatility is drying up in the S p but we're starting to lean more Towards the bullish side and what we've Just seen is a really clear breakdown of The support levels now we're drawing our Support levels like pros not just any Old amateur a random line what I'm doing With the lines is connecting it to Significant lows and if you want to find Out this significant lows I use my Tia Gan swing indicator some people just Eyeball it and try and pick something But I want to get significant levels and If I want a higher time frame Significant level to give me a better Reading of the market and not something That's a little bit in between I'll go To a higher time frame look at my weekly Chart and then start to Anchor the Points there so this can be the Difference between looking at this as Support or looking at this early on as a Clear breakdown and that's what I'm Finding at the moment with the Volatility index some are looking at This as look the vix is on support and Typically what happens when the vix is On support it bounces to the upside sure
It can happen but what we're trying to Explain here is if we get a better Clearer reading on the market it's going To give us a clearer understanding of of What we could expect next with a higher Probability of just drawing a line Willy-nilly on the chart so at the Moment we're seeing a breakdown we've Got one week that's closed underneath This level and we're in our second week Now so we want to see this week close Underneath and that's the key point Right here we still have a few more days So if this happened to bounce and then Close back in this Zone sure that was a Top on the s p and we start to move the Other way which eventually just shows That maybe the s p rolls over here a Little bit but don't forget we've got Some pretty clear lows that have been Forming on the S P so the market needs To do a lot of work to the downside to Break this down and get out of this Bullish move to the upside remember We're looking at the longer term time Frames here not just the daily moves Where it could be a few percent either Way so back to the volatility index at The moment and basically we've seen that Support the entire way to the upside and Also just started to see the market Consolidate to the downside so basically Like this little indicator here is the Vix when it goes up basically the s p
Going down when the vix is going down Which is what we're on at the moment Then the s p is going up And so this is the first time that we Have broken under the 17 level so I've Been looking at the range the trading Range between 17 and 11 to give us a Reading on the market to end the bear Market remember this happens over a Period of time with multiple signals and Indicators this is just one of those and At the moment it hasn't done this since The absolute Peak the all-time high on The S P going back to January 3rd I Believe is the all-time high so we can Take a look back here you can see right At that Peak there around the third Fourth was bang on that top at 4 800 Points and so that was the last time the Vix was underneath 17 which basically Ended that string of uh bull market run From the covered crash low through that Period of 2021 you can see we weren't Beneath 17 all that much however that Was another good time that the market Was heading up the vix was under 17. now When I take a look at a few indicators Here going back over the previous bull Markets uh we just need to bring up the S p right here you can see that the vix Dropped under the 17 level right there And this was a pretty decent time to Gather profits in that run while the vix Was underneath 17. this is not a buy and
Sell indicator you know buy when this Drops underneath or sell when it goes Above nothing like that but it's giving Us a reading on the overall trend of the Market and that's done a pretty good job Throughout 2019 and into the early part Of 2020 before It got some higher lows which then meant There might be some trouble I have no Idea that we're going to get that sort Of trouble but you could see that there Was going to be a little bit of trouble Because this started to get some higher Lows the same thing goes for the Previous Bull and Bear markets you can Start to see it head up And the markets start to roll over so You know there's going to be some Trouble you just don't know what to what Extent that's going to be which is why We layer over multiple indicators within Our own trading plans So this was another clear time as well Going back to uh 2009 Market is heading Up from the low in early 2009 so it's The orange line and the vix is dropping Right off just touching underneath 17. And that's the start of the mega bull Market that headed all the way up into 2020. yes there were some pretty severe Times to the downside through 2015 and Through 2018 and 2019 ish to the end They're basically all of 2018. But that period on the way up you can
See just how much the vix traded between 11 and 17 on the index here and the Meanwhile the Market's basically heading Up sure there are some downtime times But we're just looking overall here to Give us a broad indication of the market Sentiment and basically the direction of The market and so that's what I'm Talking about here today this historic Signal that's showing signs that the Bear Market is coming to an end and We're in the midst of a transitional Period going from the bear to the bull This doesn't mean straight up look What's happened in the past you can see The orange line here as we head out There are some significant pullbacks Throughout that period meanwhile the Bears are thinking that we're about to Get another collapse this is going to be The psyche for probably 2023 and 2024 Okay so keep that in mind this goes over A period of time that it takes for the Pendulum to swing from full-on bears to Potentially full-on bulls and when we Get into that full-on Bulls It's probably going to be the end we've Still got some time till we get there Going back again to the previous cycle Just looking at the 2003 lows here are The prices and you can see the vix start To come down and then touch into the uh Level the trading range underneath 17. So between 17 and 11. it went beneath
This level stayed under there all the Way to the top we started to get that Moved to the upside as the market Started to roll over And that gave us a signal that there's Going to be some pretty severe Volatility coming into the market and Probably to the downside remember There's no guarantees there's no 100 in This game But we're starting to see some pretty Good signals that it's probably likely The Bears are running out of steam and They're about to be demolished so that's A clean look at the vix you can see that This is where we currently are the Lowest reading we've had since the All-time high since the top of the bull Market cycle like I've said many times The Bears will have their day again but It seems like the Bears are basically Done with and they'll have to head back Into hibernation at least for a few more Years before they get their major major Turn again like I pointed out there is Going to be some ups and downs just like What we've had in history say in 2004 There was still uncertainty 2010 there's Still uncertainty but it's at the Beginning of those cycles that the Uncertainty is there and it will always Be there because that's the beginning of Cycles people are deciding what end of The spectrum they're choosing to be on
As for the s p we've just hit a new 2023 closing price a new high for the Closing price this time coming in at 4176.75 so that's three days in a row Now that we've had some nice upside it Is grinding hard at the moment and of Course there is the resistance levels Overall we're looking to the weeks and Months I see this going higher but there has to Be some pullbacks and maybe we're coming Up to that point at the moment like We've talked about before April May are Looking like good periods to have Pullbacks doesn't mean the major trend Is finished okay so we're looking at October December low and March low keep Those in mind if we have any sort of Pullbacks you can bet your bottom dollar The Bears will be back out saying you're Wrong the Bulls it was all just a bull Trap you guys are going to get screwed That's only the case if these things get Heavily taken out and the market Consolidates under those levels and in This Zone that's bad for the Bulls and We'll have to change our perspective Then but for now this is all to the Upside now before I get on to the US Dollar and Bitcoin I wanted to touch on The fear and greed index for the S P 500 So the stock market now this fear and Greed is up quite high it's at 70 but it Had a higher reading back in February
When we saw this peak here so we're Coming up to that same Peak now except The greed is less so we can work our way Higher at these greed levels providing The market remains somewhat balanced if We have some quick pullbacks down into The 40s and the 50s Zone just to get us Back into the neutral and we've reset Our emotions you know the market Sentiment so that we can continue to Grind higher otherwise you know we go on A bit of a push pump up harder and then We have to have those pullbacks whenever We get to those Peak areas the Volatility comes into the market Sentiment because you see a lot of People get run into the market and then They get flushed out but then only to See the market go up again so that's Usually that end stage of at least a Trend maybe what we're coming into now So I'm just keeping my eye on that as Well So back to the USD remember we talked About the top in September of 2022 all The biggest News Headlines by US dollar US dollar strong everything else is Collapsing if you don't remember that Just search Google look at the headlines It was wild you got everyone talking About the US dollar and how strong it Was now the flip has happened but Personally just from my own analysis I Don't think this is as strong as what it
Was at the top but we are seeing a lot Of fear into the US dollar but it seems Like it's starting to put in a bit of a Low US dollar collapsing major countries Leaving the US dollar you know it's the Headlines everyone else is using Different currencies to do International Trade so they're saying sell the US Dollar but what's happened over the last Few weeks it's basically put in a low at 102 another low at 101.5 and then again Now at 100.8 100.9 and it's starting to bounce From that point so it's taken a while to Slow this downside move but it seems Like it's happening again on extra Extremely bad news you know my overall Picture for the US dollar is we were Probably going to test some higher Prices maybe it's 105 maybe it's 108 Maybe it's only 103 which is the 50 Level either way the news has been very Adamant about how bad things are for the US dollar right now yet it's been very Difficult for the price to get any lower It's at the exact same price as it was Back in mid-march so almost four weeks Ago so it's the same psychology you'll See all of the Doomsday is talking about How bad the US dollar is and that you've Got to get out of it right this moment I Think overall on a longer term time Frame we'll probably head back down over The coming years but in the short term
With how negative the news is and we're Hitting some low prices I think we're Still due for a little bit more of a Rally here could be over the days or Weeks but it's really just an example of How ridiculous the news is and how the Market sentiment is almost just exactly At those Peaks speaking of Market Sentiment time for cryptocurrency and Bitcoin but before I head there those Links in the top of video description Again for our free crypto and economic Report and get on board with that and You guys could get involved with our Free crypto trading workshops a lot of Our Traders here are making some really Decent profits well done to you guys Hitting those hundreds of a percent Return and even if they're not hundreds Of a percent return just those 40s and 30s constant profits always good for the Portfolio so to the crypto fear and Greed index we've talked about these Levels coming up at around that 60 to 80 Level in terms of the greed which Typically Peaks out for a turn in the market like I said there's going to be some Volatility in the emotions when you get To those higher prices that's always the Case especially if you haven't had Enough time building a fundamental base We've had a bit of time here around 24 Days in this Zone before we started to
Break out and potentially hold above But nonetheless if this starts to shoot Up quick we can expect some quick drops To the downside as well that greed can Quickly swing into fear again or at Least come back to neutral to reset that Market sentiment so we're still waiting For that rejection at around the between The 60 and 80. so call it around 70 Which is what has happened in the past If we break Beyond it like it did last Time it really wasn't too long until There was an end to that Peak the brake Path the breaking point from May was Basically a month later so the sentiment Was able to continue pushing that market Up for another month yes with some wild Swings in there all the way down to fear But then all the way back up until that Run was basically over so I think we're Coming up to that point now whether We've got a couple of weeks left or a Month let the market tell that story but We're definitely coming up to that point Soon let's see how much further Bitcoins Got from this point the worst thing we Want to see is the price of Bitcoin Breaking back into this Zone here so I've got here price must stay out of the Zone between 26 and a half thousand and Roughly 29 000 that's because that's Where the previous consolidation was and If the price or if the investors the Market participants lose faith in the
Price at this point and they push it Back into the Zone then that is weakness For Bitcoin it's weakness for whichever Asset that this signal happens on but For now we're sitting right on top of Those levels so nothing to be concerned About just yet if the price starts to Close in this Zone Wicks are okay if it Closes in this Zone then we could expect Further downside to come back and test The low at 26k if that breaks down then Expect those prices at around 25 000 we're not there yet it's just Preparing for any of those sorts of Things especially if you see the price Drop into the zone and you think now's a Great time to be buying the dip just Wait because looking at this it's not a Good sign if you see it drop into the Zone like I just mentioned what we want To see from this point though holding Support above 29 or at very least Wix Just down to those tops of the candles At about 28 half thousand and then the Push-up for the rest of this move to the Upside before eventually we do get that That roll over wherever that may be the Vix is a super useful tool to identify When there is an end to a trend and when We're starting a new trend and what we Can see at the moment is that it looks Like the bear Market is ending for the S P 500 we've pointed that out many many Times before this is just yet another
Signal to identify the end of that Trend And the potential beginnings of a new Trend it's going to be shaky it's going To be volatile there's going to be times Where this starts to jump back up Because we have some pullbacks on the S P but overall we have seen Bitcoin rise From the lows of 15K means risk is Basically back into the markets Investors are feeling more comfortable With investing their money again rather Than leaving it in cash or bonds and so We're starting to see that come back Into the markets across the board the Only little headwind at this point is What happens with the US dollar as we're Seeing a slow in the decline for the USD So we're going to keep tracking the US Dollar see whether this is able to hold 100.8 or get rejected over the coming Days or weeks at around 103 and a half See how that affects Bitcoin as it tries To hold twenty nine thousand dollars and Of course the s p and the vix which are Showing reasonable signs that we're Pushing back into a bull market and the Bear Market is coming to yet another end Like it has done throughout history 2019 Classic example 2009 another classic example in 2003 yet Another classic example of the vix Indicator thanks once again guys like And subscribe if you haven't already I'll see you guys at the next video or
As a member in our trading workshops and Tia premium cheers catch in the next one Till then peace out
