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It's gonna be it's gonna be a rough year I think the early part certainly the First half of 2023 is going to be all About a high interest rates environment The recessions in the US the recessions In Europe and elsewhere they're only Just getting started I think we're Definitely in six figure Bitcoin by then I think D5 is going to be a big Narrative of the next bull market [Music] So Far more money has been lost by Investors preparing for Corrections or Trying to anticipate Corrections than Has been lost in the corrections Themselves a quote by Peter Lynch if you Don't know who Peter Lynch is he is a Legendary mutual fund manager he was Able to produce 29 Annually annual return For over a decade with his fund so People often go to Peter Lynch to get Ideas and quotes and just inspiration From a legendary investor and I think This is quite fitting for what is Happening at the moment now I know I'm Probably going to get off on the wrong Foot with many people it's not my Intentions whatsoever the main point I Mean here is just major media Outlets Not investors Not Traders just media Outlets the big Ones in the space so I'm not having a go
At the people themselves just the ideas We just need to split that up right now And I feel like this is a pretty Important time to be talking about this As the markets are basically doing the Opposite the exact opposite to what was Being predicted three months ago so like I said I'm not having a go and I think That's this is it that this is all I'm Going to do on this part right now Because I know that does trigger a few People who are very emotionally attached To certain Personalities in the space The other thing I want to put here is uh Being wrong is acceptable I've been Wrong in the past definitely I will be Wrong again in the future Maybe I'm Wrong about this we'll see but staying Wrong is totally unacceptable and I Guess it just comes down to how far You're willing to Stay with your own views of the market While the market is doing the opposite Thing after all we're only here to make Money from the markets and of course Learn that's a big part of why I got Into investing when I was 20 is I found It it was one of the best ways to learn About myself and improve myself and make Money in in the process of improving Myself because if I don't improve if I Don't change and adapt then I'm going to Lose a crap ton of money and I've lost a Lot of money in the past and this is
What keeps me going is knowing that I'm Able to improve myself and I can see the Results in my bank accounts and my Trading accounts and all that sort of Thing so since those times the late December when people are talking about Big recessions coming in 2023 The S P 500 is up 9.6 so that's from That December period there The NASDAQ is up 24 from that point and There was a lot of calls around European Recessions and a lot of countries Getting into Strife over in Europe uh The French Market if you follow me on Twitter is hitting new all-time highs Again they're having lots of problems Out in the streets you can see with the President trying to increase the Retirement age from 62 to 64 and people Are getting quite pissed and riots are Going on that's what the french do They're quite good at it their stock Market is hitting new all-time highs now I'm not saying that we won't get a Collapse eventually but it doesn't seem Like it's going to happen in 2023 Meanwhile the major media not investors Not Traders not anything else they're Just media media Outlets are talking About recession and the fears and They're starting to change their wording Around this now so pay really close Attention to that and that's why I've Probably titled this video something
Along the lines of the recessions Getting canceled or things like that We're going to go down that path in 2023 That the wording will change from people Who were calling recessions and deep Dark recessions deep depressions Anything along that line collapses And they'll change their wording Throughout the year and it'll become Less and less and less while the market Continues to to float up so this is just The French Market the UK Market did hit New all-time highs in February we had The banking collapse and that was just a Fraction of a percent maybe one percent Off the all-time highs so 1.9 off the All-time high again and this rebounded Pretty drastically there so UK is Obviously a big Market in in Europe the German Market the Dax here it's three Percent off a new all-time high and like As I said the French Market is well into A new all-time high and this is Obviously off the back of their luxury Goods brands that they have in their Stock market all that stuff is at all Time highs and at one point the owner of Those Brands the Louis Vuitton Hennessy Something or other the name of that Company was actually worth more than Elon Musk and Tesla himself so it just Goes to show you what's actually going On in the markets not my opinions All right I've got my opinions about
Media and that sort of stuff but what's Actually going on is things are hitting New all-time highs not only is it in Europe the Aussie Market is 3.7 off an All-time high this was the they can Collapse this little area here this is My tweet on Twitter as well and we had That double bottom in June and October Of 2022 before we went on a pretty good Rally nearly getting to the all-time High it looks like we're on our way to That point now in maybe quarter two or Quarter three of 2023 nothing like what Has been predicted at the end of 2023 When we were basically at uh you know at The lows here in October and then this Is when people were really getting Fearful about the markets on that higher Low and then we had the next higher low In March this is what I talk about time And time again and I guess you could ask The next question is well who do we Trust what do we do I would definitely be doing your own Research not taking the news headlines In as part of a trading plan inner Investing plan but just keep an idea or Keep keep a broader of what they are Saying because it's almost always Incorrect and this is how most people Lose in the market every single time we Know 90 of people lose in the market now Of course I'm having like a bit of a DNM Here with you guys on the channel
It is just crazy to me how often it Happens time and time again and I guess The reason a big reason why I bring this Up now is because there is a clear Example of it in the markets uh I don't Want to keep referencing back to that Because I'm not having got the people I'm really not making any friends in This game by this by the looks of it but It's not about the people themselves It's just the ideas that are circulating Over and over again with massive media Outlets across crypto stock markets real Estate whatever it may be And the same thing will happen at the Peaks and during those Peaks maybe in a Couple of years time a few years time You know I've talked a lot about the Peak being around 2025 2026 made it goes A little bit beyond that it's still Early days or in 2023 okay so it's still Early days Maybe we do go up to those levels and it Really starts to ramp up at those higher Prices right and the media is going to Be very very very bullish and Unfortunately retail is going to get Slaughtered at those tops so I guess It's a good time well what I see now is A good time to be talking about it Before we get to those Peaks and people Just dive into property and that sort of Stuff before the market then comes back Down and destroys their portfolios for a
Long period of time it could be three Years could be four years maybe it's not For another five to ten years before the Market Finds Its way back to previous Tops I don't know I don't know what That's going to look like I don't know Where this Top's going to be yet let's See how we get out of this particular Period right now but what I do know Guaranteed is that the media is going to Be extremely bullish as we head towards Those tops it's going to be extreme even More bullish so extreme bullish times 10 When we lead into a low lower top macro Speaking here maybe sometime in late 2026 maybe sometime in 2027 and then as We start to collapse like we did in 2008 That's when the fear and the panic and The pandemonium and everything like like That sets in and people get absolutely Slaughtered So I really wanted to just mention that Here early on a bit of a DNM bit Different to my uh you know trying to Put in my dad jokes and my humor but It's a clear example and let's make use Of those clear examples in the market When we get them because like uh Peter Says far more money has been lost by Investors preparing for Corrections or Trying to anticipate Corrections that Has been lost in the correction Themselves so there's a lot of people
Anticipating a correction here I'm Definitely not anticipating a correction At this point I'm anticipating a Correction later in the market but I Would definitely will not be Anticipating the correction on every dip That happens as the market goes up I'm Not in that game I want to wait and see If the market gives me that dip and you Want to see that lower high something Like that you'll be able to see it and Feel it and taste it as that market Comes down so I don't want to anticipate On the way down and keep shorting every Time the market goes up that's just a Fool's game and will get absolutely Slaughtered if we do that and as Jack Says being wrong is acceptable but Staying wrong is totally unacceptable so If we do get trapped in that game of Trying to shorten it on the way up just Get out of it get out of it being wrong Is acceptable that's okay but staying Wrong is unacceptable and trying to Short the market all the way up Something like what Michael Murray did And his uh famously known for after that 2008 movie You Know The Big Short here He was basically trying to short this Entire Market all the way up it doesn't Look like much here but if you zoom in That's a long way that he was shorting From somewhere in 2004 2005. he's only Likely lucky that he was using other
People's money if it was his own money He'd probably run out of money and get Absolutely destroyed only to see the Market then collapse so take that into Account especially as we uh potentially You know I can always be wrong here but Potentially start to climb out of these Tops so if you haven't liked and Subscribed to the channel as I've Pointed out before I think I stand by All of my work and I think this is the Best value work you're going to get Anywhere on the internet because we Bring together real estate stock markets Cryptocurrencies links in the top of the Video description that is for my Investor Alpha report here it comes out Once every two weeks to your inbox going Through all of this stuff and of course If you want to get even more detail and Learn how to trade and invest in the Markets Tia premium link is down there In the video description as well now We're not finished there guys just Needed to drop that in there because There is just a lot going on in the Markets and try and bring a little bit More of a positive Humor back to today's video Let's look at the vix there's not like a Whole lot of humor here apart from the Market breaking down not really that Humorous but we're seeing the vix drop From these highs and like we've looked
At when it gets to around that 17 Reading you can see the 17 here if I Move this out between 17 and 11 this has Usually been a pretty solid sign of all Markets and just bull markets plodding Along you're going to get Peaks out of The 17 level so if we start to drop in Here and move out of it it's going to Happen that's going to be part of the Bull market but we've really just seen It finally break down of this from this Diagonal uptrend there you can see that We're tracking that all the way down That's why we were looking at the bear Market not being as severe as everyone Else was making out that it was going to Be that severe you know we had that Solid low in June the solid low in October higher low in December higher Low in March and we've had the highest Weekly close in 33 or 34 bars I think That might be slightly off but Essentially it's been the highest we Could close in almost eight months and We broke above the 50 level and got a Close above there so things are Happening at a snail's pace here which Is why the bearish news continues to Stick around that's the only thing That's really that sticky at the moment We can get it past 4200 that's going to Be looking really really juicy for these Markets as well same sort of deal for The NASDAQ it's just a few percent off
Uh the 50 level so have a look at that At 13 620 so three and a half percent That's That Swing top in August it's coming Right back there's one thing I could Point out that I was uh wrong on I Thought the NASDAQ had a little bit Further to drop but once we saw the s p Go up then it wasn't uh likely that the NASDAQ was going to go down further and Then we saw this big break in January a Pull back into March and now it's pushed Higher again so we've got to get back Above 13 6 so it's around 13 8 would be Lovely and uh yeah no that's that's the NASDAQ itself the vix is obviously Showing signs of bullishness heading Into the zone of the uh the Bull Run Territory here so when it goes in Between 11 and 17 Sentiment data now I can go I'm going to Go through this in a little more detail In next week's videos but there's some Really interesting stuff here where We've seen The advance of bullish relative Trends In Europe when this swings from 100 to 10 so this is the only handful of Countries remaining in correction Territory so basically like I showed you All of these a lot of these European Countries are getting close to all-time Highs if they aren't already in all-time Highs this usually lasts for quite some
Time when the percentage of European Countries in correction territory Cycles From 100 so when they're all in Correction to less than 10 of them enter In correction then the index tends to Trend higher across all time frames in Every case the single uh the signal Showed again at some point in the first Three months And drawdowns over the same Horizon were Benign so basically 12 months later After this signals swings from all of The countries in correction to less than 10 in correction 12 months later you Typically see about an 11.8 percent Return uh positive here 75 average Max Loss 2.9 so there it doesn't always work But the loss is very minimal and the Gain is quite Big Max gain is 13.9 here So I personally don't like betting Against all these odds when markets are Swinging into positive territory the Only thing that's really bearish is news Headlines in the market sentiment and People trying to piece all these things Together saying you're wrong it's Interest rates it's cash isn't coming in Liquidity you name it there is just Something to talk about why everything Must be bearish Yet Market the signals Everything is showing that this year is Going to have some pretty positive Returns like we've covered many times Before so make sure you have liked and
Subscribed to the channel Now Bitcoin cryptocurrency from those Particular calls back here around that I Just want to mention the date there 26th Of December 2022 the returns here on Bitcoin around 81 some will say well it Wasn't talking about Bitcoin only Talking about the recession in the Economy and Bitcoin has to succeed Because it's not in the banking system And it's it's an alternative nonsense Absolute nonsense what happens with Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies is it's Almost like an indicator At times maybe a leading indicator It says risk is coming back into the Market Bitcoin solid moved to the upside So risk is coming back people uh or Investors are interested in putting Their money at risk again Bitcoin showed That 81 stock markets are lagging in the U.S to bitcoin at this stage but they're All still going up in unison okay so There's no decoupling there's none of This BS going on we're seeing European Markets uh leading the charge at the Moment I think the us is going to come Back stronger as well we'll wait and see Either way they are up from their lows In October and December and of course March 1 there as well and Bitcoin is Just put in a highest daily close in 341 Days we're closing in on that 52-week Highs here for BTC uh the close was 30
493 so just a few months ago people Would not have believed would be here I Would not have believed to be at 30 Thousand dollars on BTC I thought we're Going to track around a little bit Longer and push higher but I was Definitely in the the camp that the November low was most likely going to be The cycle alone that's how we started to Do our accounts from that point in the Market We're going to have a pullback at some Point but like I've talked about looking At around April May We'll see what happens whether we keep Going up where that top is is anyone's Guess I'm not trying to play that game It's just the timing game is is my Preference here so maybe we top out and Just have a pullback to you know these Sort of levels here let's wait and see That's too much speculation at this Point in time but there will be some Sort of pullback or pause in the prices As well that's just how the game is I Can't see this being taken out to the 19 And a half kilo and I can't see these These getting taken out either the 15 And a half to whatever that is 16k low So I think these are probably safe let's Wait and see where the top comes in First and then we can start to measure To the downside as well total Cryptocurrency market cap has also
Closed very very high uh if this week Closes out above 1.18 trillion it's Going to be one of the highest closes in The last 47 or so weeks which is pretty Decent for the total cryptocurrency Market cap of course 50 of that is BTC And then 20 or 25 is eighth and then the Rest of it are the altcoins but Um Michael here my brother was I would Say one of the only people if you know Anyone else let me know in the comment Section down below because it's always Good to follow other people who are in Tune with the market and get an idea and Make your own perspective of course uh But he posted many many times to your Channel that he believed this was Probably going to be the low for the Total cryptocurrency market cap and I've Got it labeled here as the final Capitulation Zone basically only weekly Wicks were able to penetrate that low Price there at about 760 billion dollars So amazing call there from Mick that's Not my call Michael's call got really Spot on very close to the market there And we've seen a nice move to the upside From that point breaking resistance here I'm still looking out for around 1.5 Trillion getting above the 50 level just To give us some more support in the Total cryptocurrency Market let's wait And see of course as with everything but For now this is looking relatively
Healthy this is probably the low in now Wait and see what happens from that Point now I did say at the beginning of the video There are some people who I follow for News and information real information Not just headlines and not just Repeating the narrative that's out there In the media because you can go and get That anywhere you can get it for free Just open up a news headline or Google Phil great guy you've seen him on my Channel before I might be having another Interview with him as well so make sure You do subscribe and go follow him on Twitter as well uh he's not like Everyone else on Twitter you'll get a Picture of that very quickly and just Posts what he feels like is important at The time especially around the real Estate cycles of the US of the UK and Australia and of course the other Countries all come into that as well Canada's your Singapore's New Zealand's Uh developed Europe that sort of stuff As well another recent Um Twitter account that I followed is Seth golden so it's been probably a few Months he's on the bullish side but he Explains it in a lot of detail uh you Know me I don't talk about other Accounts almost ever but these are some Of the good guys that I have been Following and they hit it from a
Different angle so I'm learning at the Same time so if you're interested go and Follow these guys on Twitter and you Start to read about how they interpret Markets compared to mainstream media who Are always two steps behind that eight Ball nothing wrong with the people Themselves okay nothing wrong with the People themselves I would love to have a Coffee a drink all that sort of stuff Hang out but like I said I'm probably Not making friends doing these sorts of Things and of course my brother's Channel as well go and check his out Twitter as well this is what I was Talking about earlier the banking crisis Seems to be downgraded by the media here Calling it a concern Rather than a crisis so this is exactly What will happen in 2023 that I can Guarantee Other things in the market whether You're going to get a return or a loss I Can't guarantee that but I can guarantee You this is human psychology this is Market psychology and it is going to Play out exactly the same as it has done Throughout history so stay tuned Like subscribe check out the free Investor report link is in the top of The video description if you want more Detail on education link is down there For Tia premium thanks once again guys I'll see you at the next video have a
Fantastic weekend until the next video Peace out
